Green Bay

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Green Bay

Postby Commissioner » Sat Jan 18, 2020 12:54 pm

Green Bay

When: Saturday, January 18, 1:00 p.m. EST
Where: Resch Center, Green Bay, WI
TV: ESPN+
Radio: AM 910

So, here's some good news: after Saturday, the schedule gets easier. The Titans will have played 5 of 7 Horizon games on the road, meaning that we'll get 7 of our last 11 at home. The teams we'll have left to play twice are IUPUI and UIC. The latter is tied with us for 7th in the conference, while the former is in last place. It's very discouraging that we lost to Wright State by one in a game we definitely should have won, and to Youngstown State by two in a game we certainly could have won. Had we won those two, we'd be in the thick of the league title race. But that's now water under the bridge. If the Titans can handle Green Bay on the road on Saturday, we'll still be well positioned to make some noise and get a decent seed for the conference tournament.

Green Bay enters Saturday's game at 8-11 overall, 3-3 in conference, and 5-4 at home. The Phoenix did not play well in non-conference, going just 5-8, with all of those losses by double-digit margins. Two of the wins were over non-D1 competition, another by 1 point over Northern Illinois, the others over Cal-State Northridge and Montana State. Tney've been better, if somewhat erratic, in conference. They played well on an opening swing through the conference favorites, losing at Wright State by just 6 and then upsetting Northern Kentucky. But they gave that NKU win back by losing badly, at home, to IUPUI, and then also losing at home last weekend to their main conference rival, Milwaukee. But they got back on the winning track by holding off Oakland on Thursday, 83-79, in a game not decided until the final seconds.

Green Bay has been one of the most up-tempo teams in the league since the arrival of Coach Linc Darner five seasons ago, but this year they've taken it to a new level--according to KenPom, the Phoenix have the shortest average possession time on offense of any team in the country. As always, Darner supports this style of play by going deep into his bench. His opponents, meanwhile, seem to try to consciously slow the game down--opponents' average length of possession is one of the longest in the country. The Phoenix play almost all man-to-man, and they will press, not all the time but at any time in the game. Given the Titans' ball-handling difficulties, I think we should expect to see Green Bay press more than usual.

Green Bay's top player is senior JayQuan McCloud, who is averaging 15.2 points and 4.6 assists. But the big surprise this year has been his backcourt running mate, freshman Amari Davis. Davis is averaging a team-best 16.5 points, while shooting a whopping 53 percent from the floor, the kind of number you usually see from low volume, low-post players. Davis has already been recognized as conference Freshman of the Week 5 times (that's more than Antoine Davis won the recognition all of last season), and has scored 28 and 22 points in his last two game. His points come on drives and cuts to the basket--he is not a three point threat.

Although Darner has mixed it up a bit (10 different players have started games) the other likely starters are Novi senior Kameron Hankerson, senior Cody Schwarz, and junior Manny Patterson. The first two are big guards (the kind I still prefer to think of as small forwards, but it seems to be the trend to call everyone a guard these days, unless they are montrously big or couldn't absolutely can't make a three point shot, in which case they are called power forwards--there are no more centers). Patterson is thus the only in-the-paint player, and poor Justin Miller must be delighted at that unusual prospect.

The Phoenix are one of the better three-point shooting teams in the country, ranking first in the Horizon and 45th nationally in percentage from behind the arc. That has come even as McCloud, who easily leads the team in three point attempts, has seen his percentage drop from 39 percent a year ago to under 33 percent this year. But Hankerson and Schwarz are both shooting 40 percent from deep, and back-up point guard PJ Pipes (who has started 11 games ) and "stretch 4" forward Will Chevalier are both well over the 40 percent mark. Hankerson has been a bit of a Titan killer, averaging 18.5 points in his last 4 games against Detroit.

Despite their helter-skelter pace, Green Bay has been very good at protecting the ball, ranking 12th in the nation in fewest turnovers. But they also force a lot of turnovers (2nd in the league on a per game basis) and not surprisingly lead the conference in turnover margin by a healthy amount.

This poses a tough match-up for the Titans. Green Bay has the ability to take advantage of our shaky ball handling, force turnovers, and score in transition, and they're also likely to get transition baskets off of missed threes. The Titans are the worst shooting team in the league, and with those threes there are a very number of high rebounds. You have to get back, and get back quick against Green Bay. At the same time, Green Bay has the three point shooting to shoot us out of our zone, augmented by the fact that they are a good passing team and lead the league in assists. They are also, after the Titans, the league's top free throw shooting team. I'd like to see the Titans go low to Miller. With Tank Hemphill out for the season, Patterson, Chevalier, and muscular Josh McNair are the paint players, and I don't really think any of them can stop Miller if Justin is on his game. Maybe Chevalier, who carries 240 pounds on a 6-9 frame, can, but he hasn't shown the ability to bang down low.

Probable Green Bay Starters
PG: JayQuan McCloud, 6-2 RS Sr. (15.2 ppg, 4.7 rpg, 4.6 apg, 32.9% 3PtFG)
SG: Amari Davis, 6-3 Fr. (16.5 ppg, 3.7 rpg, 53.3% FG)
SF: Kameron Hankerson, 6-5 Sr. (10.1 ppg, 3.6 rpg, 2.5 apg, 40.0% 3PtFG)
F: Cody Schwarz, 6-9 RS Sr. (7.8 ppg, 4.2 rpg, 40.0% 3PtFG)
PF: Manny Patterson, 6-8 Jr. (6.2 ppg, 5.3 rpg, 57.5%FG)

Key Reserves
PG: P.J. Pipes, 6-2 Jr. (11.2 ppg, 3.2 rpg, 2.4 apg, 44.9% 3PtFG)
G: Hunter Crist, 6-3 Jr. (2.6 ppg, 2.3 apg)
SF: Trevion Bell, 6-7 Sr. (4.4 ppg, 20.0% 3 PtFG)
F: Josh McNair, 6-6 Sr. (6.1 ppg, 3.9 rpg, 60.0% FG)
F: Will Chevalier, 6-9 RS Soph. (4.3 ppg, 45.0% 3PtFG)
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Re: Green Bay

Postby NC Titan » Sat Jan 18, 2020 3:57 pm

Awful lot of cold shooting for Detroit -- other than Chris Brandon.
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Re: Green Bay

Postby titanmac » Sat Jan 18, 2020 5:17 pm

nice finish. too bad the three point shots wouldn't drop. almost stole one.
In Greek mythology, the Titans were greater even than the gods. They ruled their universe with absolute power! Well that basketball court out there tonight, that's our universe. Let's rule it like Titans! (with apologies to coach boon)
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Re: Green Bay

Postby Rogobob77 » Sat Jan 18, 2020 11:08 pm

Game recap from the Green Bay Press Gazette:

https://www.greenbaypressgazette.com/st ... 501878002/

As with Milwaukee, must be nice to get a full game story in the local paper.
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Re: Green Bay

Postby titanmac » Sun Jan 19, 2020 9:48 am

three winable games coming up at home. would be nice to sweep.doable.
In Greek mythology, the Titans were greater even than the gods. They ruled their universe with absolute power! Well that basketball court out there tonight, that's our universe. Let's rule it like Titans! (with apologies to coach boon)
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